FTC · #12211

Trial & Error

Metrics by event

OPRc —

OPR 27.5 #16/22 avg 48.5

Strength 17.9 #20/22 avg 46.6

OPRc —

OPR 16.7 #21/23 avg 48.1

Strength 13.9 #19/23 avg 44.5

OPRc —

OPR 22.6 #21/25 avg 48.0

Strength 23.4 #21/25 avg 44.9

OPRc —

OPR 13.0 #35/36 avg 87.9

Strength 29.7 #34/36 avg 86.2

OPRc —

OPR -11.0 #16/16 avg 36.1

Strength -30.9 #16/16 avg 34.6

+7.8 Inflated

Record inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USOHKIQ 2024 +5.9 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +4.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USOHHIQ 2024 +13.3 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +12.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USOHKEQ 2024 +2.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +6.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -3.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USOHCMP 2024 -53.7 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -37.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -16.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USOHAUOS 2024 +71.1 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +50.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +20.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →