FTC · #13406

Consistently Inconsistent

Metrics by event

OPRc 32.9 #2/6 avg 20.3

OPR 36.9 #2/6 avg 21.3

Strength 29.2 #2/6 avg 20.4

OPRc 47.9 #3/20 avg 27.2

OPR 54.1 #3/20 avg 36.6

Strength 46.3 #3/20 avg 27.2

OPRc 23.6 #19/24 avg 40.2

OPR 56.8 #10/24 avg 49.6

Strength 20.5 #21/24 avg 40.1

OPRc 62.1 #24/36 avg 76.7

OPR 84.3 #18/36 avg 90.1

Strength 57.0 #24/36 avg 76.7

-0.8 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USMADAS 2025 -1.7 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -5.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMAANQ1 2025 +7.4 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +6.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMABRQ1 2025 +5.5 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +2.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +2.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMACMP 2025 -14.1 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -19.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +5.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →