FTC · #16800

Trial and Terror

Metrics by event

OPRc —

OPR 5.6 #11/12 avg 20.4

Strength 6.9 #11/12 avg 19.4

OPRc —

OPR 38.4 #4/21 avg 27.0

Strength 48.1 #4/21 avg 26.2

OPRc —

OPR 67.3 #2/23 avg 25.7

Strength 61.7 #3/23 avg 24.7

OPRc —

OPR 55.1 #14/35 avg 51.8

Strength 52.0 #15/35 avg 49.5

OPRc —

OPR 37.1 #40/40 avg 110.7

Strength 36.5 #40/40 avg 107.5

+9.0 Inflated

Record inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USPAAMS 2024 +7.4 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +9.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USPAKSS 2024 -12.1 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -3.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -8.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USPAPHQ1 2024 +11.4 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +6.6 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USPACOQ1 2024 +16.5 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +13.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USPACMP 2024 +22.0 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +22.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →