FTC · #18079

Accidental Success

Metrics by event

OPRc 30.7 #4/14 avg 25.8

OPR 53.7 #4/14 avg 32.3

Strength 30.9 #5/14 avg 25.7

OPRc 71.7 #2/14 avg 34.6

OPR 109.5 #1/14 avg 42.9

Strength 67.5 #2/14 avg 34.5

OPRc 57.3 #8/28 avg 41.6

OPR 60.1 #11/28 avg 51.7

Strength 55.2 #8/28 avg 41.6

OPRc 54.3 #20/32 avg 65.4

OPR 51.3 #24/32 avg 74.2

Strength 47.1 #23/32 avg 65.4

+0.1 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USWASAM1 2025 -1.0 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -1.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +0.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWASAM2 2025 -12.0 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -16.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWAWULT 2025 +8.4 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +6.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +2.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWAMVSQ1 2025 +7.4 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +0.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +7.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →