FTC · #18861

Potential Meltdown

Metrics by event

OPRc —

OPR 14.5 #9/14 avg 29.1

Strength 16.3 #9/14 avg 28.8

OPRc —

OPR 17.7 #11/15 avg 36.0

Strength 11.0 #11/15 avg 35.6

OPRc —

OPR 25.0 #9/16 avg 38.9

Strength 14.7 #11/16 avg 38.8

OPRc —

OPR 24.9 #12/16 avg 47.7

Strength 28.9 #13/16 avg 47.1

OPRc —

OPR 87.0 #10/36 avg 67.3

Strength 58.5 #18/36 avg 63.0

+2.6 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USTXHONLM1 2023 -3.4 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -1.6 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHONLM2 2023 +8.8 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +7.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHONLM3 2023 +18.2 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +8.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +10.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHONLLT1 2023 -9.5 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHOPASQ 2023 -1.1 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -10.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +9.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →