FTC · #20228

Screw Ups

Metrics by event

OPRc 33.6 #7/28 avg 22.3

OPR 39.9 #8/28 avg 30.1

Strength 31.9 #8/28 avg 22.2

OPRc 60.1 #3/22 avg 34.2

OPR 56.2 #5/22 avg 40.2

Strength 61.2 #3/22 avg 34.0

OPRc 43.9 #8/28 avg 36.4

OPR 43.7 #10/28 avg 42.5

Strength 46.3 #9/28 avg 36.3

OPRc 59.3 #20/32 avg 65.1

OPR 69.6 #18/32 avg 71.8

Strength 60.0 #20/32 avg 65.1

+1.9 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USNYEXHJQ 2025 +4.8 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +3.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USNYEXALQ 2025 -3.6 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -2.6 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.9 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USNYEXPEQ 2025 +10.3 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +12.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USNYEXCMP 2025 -1.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -1.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →