FTC · #23507

Sitting Ducks

Metrics by event

OPRc 14.2 #3/16 avg 10.1

OPR 16.7 #3/16 avg 12.4

Strength 14.2 #3/16 avg 10.0

OPRc 13.8 #7/17 avg 15.9

OPR 18.3 #7/17 avg 20.0

Strength 19.4 #5/17 avg 15.4

OPRc 4.9 #17/18 avg 24.2

OPR 8.0 #17/18 avg 28.0

Strength -3.4 #18/18 avg 24.0

OPRc 22.0 #18/35 avg 31.7

OPR 31.2 #16/35 avg 37.0

Strength 17.3 #25/35 avg 31.4

OPRc 31.2 #16/22 avg 53.4

OPR 30.7 #17/22 avg 56.6

Strength 24.5 #20/22 avg 53.3

+1.9 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USTXCHNM1 2025 +1.2 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXCHCM2 2025 -13.3 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -7.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXCHCM3 2025 +6.1 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXCHLT1 2025 +3.4 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -1.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +5.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXSAOS1 2025 +11.7 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +4.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +6.9 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →