FTC · #23799

Bad Apples

Metrics by event

OPRc —

OPR 14.6 #22/33 avg 24.3

Strength -17.0 #33/33 avg 20.3

OPRc —

OPR 8.1 #8/8 avg 21.3

Strength 12.4 #6/8 avg 17.3

OPRc —

OPR 30.4 #4/8 avg 35.6

Strength 28.0 #4/8 avg 33.3

OPRc —

OPR 32.7 #3/7 avg 38.4

Strength 31.7 #3/7 avg 38.1

OPRc —

OPR 47.2 #11/24 avg 48.1

Strength 43.2 #10/24 avg 44.9

+1.9 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USTXFTS 2023 +36.6 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +27.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +9.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXNEM1 2023 +0.5 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +3.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXNEM2 2023 +1.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +3.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXNEM3 2023 -2.6 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -3.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXNEFLT 2023 -11.2 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -8.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.9 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →