FTC · #28530

Analysis Paralysis

Metrics by event

OPRc 27.2 #4/8 avg 25.7

OPR 35.8 #4/8 avg 27.2

Strength 30.0 #4/8 avg 25.7

OPRc 30.8 #11/34 avg 24.7

OPR 38.3 #12/34 avg 32.7

Strength 32.0 #10/34 avg 24.8

OPRc 38.2 #8/25 avg 28.7

OPR 44.7 #9/25 avg 38.9

Strength 34.9 #10/25 avg 28.3

OPRc 44.9 #10/24 avg 41.1

OPR 45.2 #15/24 avg 51.2

Strength 45.9 #9/24 avg 41.0

+1.2 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USMTKAS 2025 -8.8 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -6.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMTBUQ 2025 +1.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +2.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMTHEQ 2025 +18.8 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +15.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +3.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USMTCMP 2025 -4.6 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →