FTC · #31821

R-squared: The Coefficient of Determination

Metrics by event

OPRc 24.5 #4/18 avg 13.9

OPR 32.7 #4/18 avg 17.9

Strength 24.7 #4/18 avg 13.8

OPRc 31.1 #4/14 avg 23.5

OPR 32.7 #5/14 avg 28.6

Strength 30.1 #5/14 avg 23.1

OPRc 35.6 #2/16 avg 23.4

OPR 55.2 #3/16 avg 32.2

Strength 34.3 #4/16 avg 23.3

OPRc 44.8 #6/24 avg 32.2

OPR 51.0 #7/24 avg 44.3

Strength 44.1 #7/24 avg 32.2

-3.6 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USILCCM1C 2025 -2.1 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -2.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILCCM2 2025 +2.0 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +0.3 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILCCM3 2025 -0.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -2.8 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +2.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USILCCLT2 2025 -13.4 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -14.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +0.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.