FTC · #32420

Hot Pink Hypothesis

Metrics by event

OPRc 31.8 #9/40 avg 22.3

OPR 44.8 #7/40 avg 29.7

Strength 35.5 #6/40 avg 22.3

OPRc 17.1 #26/42 avg 27.1

OPR 16.6 #33/42 avg 30.9

Strength 23.2 #20/42 avg 27.0

OPRc 10.6 #37/42 avg 33.9

OPR 21.9 #31/42 avg 39.9

Strength 13.7 #36/42 avg 33.8

OPRc 22.9 #14/21 avg 40.7

OPR 23.9 #17/21 avg 46.2

Strength 25.2 #13/21 avg 40.2

-8.3 Underrated

Underrated — faced a tough schedule.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USCASDSDMLM1 2025 -13.7 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -10.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -3.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USCASDSDMLM3 2025 -7.6 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -1.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -6.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USCASDSDMLM5 2025 -20.9 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -15.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USCASDSDTLLT 2025 +9.1 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +11.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -2.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.