FTC · #4106

Supposable Thumbs

Metrics by event

OPRc 50.7 #5/25 avg 33.3

OPR 56.6 #8/25 avg 47.7

Strength 46.8 #5/25 avg 33.1

OPRc 63.5 #4/28 avg 33.6

OPR 46.3 #11/28 avg 41.6

Strength 51.9 #4/28 avg 33.6

OPRc 62.5 #4/28 avg 42.8

OPR 74.3 #5/28 avg 52.5

Strength 54.5 #7/28 avg 42.8

OPRc 71.1 #13/32 avg 68.3

OPR 81.7 #11/32 avg 75.5

Strength 76.5 #10/32 avg 68.3

+5.7 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USWISHQ 2025 +5.1 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner +1.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWIREQ 2025 +48.5 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +36.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +11.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWIBRQ 2025 +3.2 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +8.0 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USWICMP 2025 -27.5 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -22.0 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →