FTC · #4284

The Butterfly Effect

Metrics by event

OPRc —

OPR 20.8 #4/22 avg 12.4

Strength 14.3 #7/22 avg 11.0

OPRc —

OPR 16.1 #17/24 avg 21.4

Strength 9.9 #20/24 avg 19.3

OPRc —

OPR 15.8 #26/31 avg 33.5

Strength 0.9 #31/31 avg 31.8

+9.5 Strongly Inflated

Record heavily inflated by strong alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

63704059236.0385 2019 -5.2 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.4 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.9 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
63706833935.4608 2019 +12.0 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +7.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
63706834120.5583 2019 +19.5 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +13.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +6.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.