FTC · #18861

Potential Meltdown

Metrics by event

OPRc 42.6 #5/16 avg 32.9

OPR 39.8 #7/16 avg 39.5

Strength 45.7 #5/16 avg 32.5

OPRc 42.6 #3/15 avg 29.8

OPR 49.5 #3/15 avg 33.8

Strength 38.1 #5/15 avg 28.7

OPRc 48.9 #5/16 avg 42.4

OPR 78.1 #4/16 avg 52.0

Strength 58.1 #5/16 avg 42.3

OPRc 58.5 #5/16 avg 46.9

OPR 68.9 #5/16 avg 53.5

Strength 71.2 #5/16 avg 46.8

OPRc 59.1 #11/42 avg 39.2

OPR 66.8 #11/42 avg 44.4

Strength 38.4 #18/42 avg 39.4

-6.2 Underrated

Underrated — held back by weak alliance partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USTXHOLM1 2025 -3.8 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -2.2 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHOLM2 2025 +13.9 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +12.3 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.6 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHOLM3 2025 -32.6 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -23.5 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -9.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXHOLLT 2025 -24.6 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -11.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -12.8 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USTXWAS5 2025 +16.3 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -5.1 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +21.5 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →