FTC · #7110

The Element of Surprise

Metrics by event

OPRc 17.0 #7/15 avg 19.7

OPR 19.7 #7/15 avg 23.0

Strength 22.3 #5/15 avg 19.5

OPRc 19.7 #10/18 avg 25.8

OPR 19.9 #10/18 avg 30.3

Strength 15.4 #15/18 avg 25.5

OPRc 23.9 #10/19 avg 26.5

OPR 54.7 #2/19 avg 31.3

Strength 22.1 #14/19 avg 26.3

OPRc 24.8 #12/18 avg 26.1

OPR 25.1 #13/18 avg 30.3

Strength 24.7 #12/18 avg 25.8

OPRc 23.7 #19/27 avg 30.8

OPR 27.5 #17/27 avg 33.6

Strength 25.1 #20/27 avg 30.9

-0.2 Fair

Record reflects a fair schedule and partners.

How much of the record reflects context (partners, schedule) rather than the team itself.

USIAPOMPM3 2025 -12.9 Strongly Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -7.7 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -5.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USIAPOMPM6 2025 +12.8 Strongly Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +8.6 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +4.1 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USIAPOMPM8 2025 -2.1 Fair Luck — record context, not skill Partner -3.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule +1.7 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USIAPOMPM9 2025 +7.7 Inflated Luck — record context, not skill Partner +7.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -0.2 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.
USIAPOMPLT 2025 -6.3 Underrated Luck — record context, not skill Partner -4.9 (partner quality vs event avg), schedule -1.4 (opponent ease vs event avg). Positive means the record was helped by context; negative means the team performed against the odds.

Each number is fit from one event's qualification matches. What every column means →